Tax Gap Slightly Shrinks, IRS Reports, IR-2024-262

he Internal Revenue Service is estimated a slight decrease in the estimated tax gap for tax year 2022.

According to Tax Gap Projections for Tax Year 2022 report, the IRS is projecting the net tax gap to be $606 billion in TY 2022, down from the revised projected tax gap of $617 billion for TY 2021. The decrease track with a one-percent decrease in the true tax liability during that time.

The TY 2022 gross tax is projected to be $696 billion, and includes the following components:

• Underreporting (tax understated on timely filed returns) – $539 billion
• Underpayment (tax that was reported on time, but not paid on time) – $94 billion
• Nonfiling (tax not paid on time by those who did not file on time) – $63 billion

For TY 2022, the projected net tax gap broken down by tax type includes:

• Individual income tax – $447 billion
• Corporation income tax – $40 billion
• Employment taxes – $119 billion
• Estate tax and excise tax – less than $500 million in each category

The size of the tax gap “vividly illustrates the ongoing need for adequate funding for the IRS,” agency Commissioner Daniel Werfel said in a statement. “We need to focus both on compliance efforts to enforce existing laws as well as improving services to help taxpayers with their tax obligations to help address the tax gap.”

From TY 2021 to TY 2022, the voluntary compliance rate slightly increased from 84.9 percent to 85.0 percent and the net compliance rate rose slightly from 86.9 percent from 86.8 percent.

The agency stated in the report that the relatively static voluntary compliance rate was “largely expected since the projection methodology assumes that reporting compliance behavior has not changed since the TY 2014-2016 time frame,” although the voluntary compliance rate is projected to fall from 58 percent in TY 2021 to 55 percent in TY 2022.

By Gregory Twachtman, Washington News Editor