Little Chance for Lame Duck Tax Legislation, Reconciliation Bill on Table in 2025

WASHINGTON–With Congress in its lame duck session to close out the remainder of 2024 and with Republicans taking control over both chambers of Congress in the just completed election cycle, no major tax legislation is expected, although there is potential for minor legislation before the year ends.

The GOP takeover of the Senate also puts the use of the reconciliation process on the table as a means for Republicans to push through certain tax policy objectives without necessarily needing any Democratic buy-in, setting the stage for legislative activity in 2025, with a particular focus on the expiring provision of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act.

Eric LoPresti, tax counsel for Senate Finance Committee Chairman Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) said November 13, 2024, during a legislative panel at the American Institute of CPA’s Fall Tax Division Meetings that “there’s interest” in moving a disaster tax relief bill.

Neither offered any specifics as to what provisions may or may not be on the table.

One thing that is not expected to be touched in the lame duck session is the tax deal brokered by House Ways and Means Committee Chairman Jason Smith (R-Mo.) and Chairman Wyden, but parts of it may survive into the coming year, particularly the provisions around the employee retention credit, which will come with $60 billion in potential budget offsets that could be used by the GOP to help cover other costs, although Don Snyder, tax counsel for Finance Committee Ranking Member Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) hinted that ERC provisions have bipartisan support and could end up included in a minor tax bill, if one is offered in the lame duck session.

Another issue that likely will be debated in 2025 is the supplemental funding for the Internal Revenue Service that was included in the Inflation Reduction Act. LoPresti explained that because of quirks in the Congressional Budget Office scoring of the funding, once enacted, it becomes part of the IRS baseline in terms of what the IRS is expected to bring in and making cuts to that baseline would actually cost the government money rather than serving as a potential offset.

By Gregory Twachtman, Washington News Editor